Russian Business News
What eBay means to the Russian e-commerce market
By RMStaff

- Image by Getty Images via Daylife
By the end of March, 2010 American Internet giant eBay will launch a Russian version of it’s website and online payment system Paypal. The potential result of this step into the Russian e-commerce market could benefit not only Russian consumers, but drive the growth of online business and e-commerce in Russia.
The eBay Strategy
The eBay strategy in Russia is to offer fixed-price goods instead of auctions. Distribution will be serviced mainly using the Russian postal service. This however, is certainly a problem for all players in the Russian e-commerce market as large delays are common, with wait times up to 3 months. There is certainly a fantastic opportunity for another delivery company to step in to offer more reliable delivery and take advantage of the growing Russian e-commerce market.
The goal of this expansion is to increase cross border transactions, potentially opening the Russian market to a flood of goods from Europe. While this is certainly a benefit to Russian consumers, the question of customs becomes major issue for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective flow of goods into and out of Russia.
E-commerce Impact
Russia’s e-commerce market is worth $5 billion a year but could grow to $20 billion. The market in the US, by comparison, is estimated at $150 billion. There is certainly room for growth as Russian Internet usage is growing rapidly and consumers are becoming more comfortable making transactions from the Internet.
The entrance of eBay to the Russian market could also cut down on rampant fraud which exists on many websites selling goods through the Internet.
“EBay has a range of advantages that would help it [take market share],” said Boris Kim, chairman on the Committee on Payment systems of the National Association of E-Commerce.
“Its system of controlling deals helps to protect customers from counterfeit and fake listings that are widespread in Russia.”
Competition
The website Molotok.ru will be eBay’s main source of competition in Russia. The company is owned by the Allegro è Mail.ru International Group. The company has approximately 200,000 visitors a day and more than 5 million items for sale. In 2009, the site had a total of 30 million registered users.
Igor Karpachyov, CEO of Molotok.ru, stated that eBay’s entry into the market was an indication of “good prospects” for the sector.
“The appearance of a new international player is always useful for the market as it boosts its development,” Karpachyov said.
Considering the global reach, experience, and immense budget available to eBay for promotion, expect them to be a formidable player on the Russian e-commerce market.
Paypal and payment methods
Credit card payments using Paypal will be offered in Russia, which is already accepted at many Russian banks. Paypal is considered to be one of the safest payment systems in the world and has been offered in Russia since 2007 utilizing wire transfer.
“I can’t see any problem in paying online today,” said Kim, the Russian e-commerce official. “More and more people have credit cards. On registering the credit card in the PayPal system, you can just pay using a password. You can also create an Internet account by paying in cash at a payment terminal on the street or in stores.”
Despite the opportunity, Paypal has been plagued by difficulties in account setup and verification of a clients home address and bank account in order to receive funds. However, this is no different from account setup with Paypal’s competitors in Russia including WebMoney and Yandex Money.
Opportunities for individuals and businesses
The possibility for buyers and sellers to operate safely and efficiently using eBay and the Paypal payment system could bring about a new age in Russian e-commerce and bring notoriously high prices for imported goods to a more reasonable level. The competition and level playing field for buyers and sellers could also bring about a shift in pricing policies for in-store sales, as consumers will now have a much wider choice for their purchases.
Overall, the entrance of eBay to the Russian market should bring major benefits to Russian consumers and businesses, while further connecting Russia to the rest of the global market.
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Rating the effectiveness of Russia’s Anti-Crisis Plan
By RMStaff
Russia has quickly overcome the global crisis and turned toward positive growth going into 2010. How effective has the Russian government been at implementing anti-crisis strategies and what has really brought the Russian economy back to life?
Russia’s economy fell into recession during 2009 as the economy shrank by approximately 8.5% and Russian stock markets shed more than $1 trillion in value. In addition the price of Urals heavy crude, the main source of income for Russia, lost more than 70% of its value since the record high of $147 in July 2008 and Russia’s foreign exchange reserves fell by $210 billion from their high of $386 billion.
To spur economic growth the Russian government allocated over $200 billion dollars, or 14% of GDP, for businesses and banks to “weather the economic storm.” As a result Russia’s economy emerged from recession in the third quarter of 2009 and Russian stocks been the best performing in the world. The Russian MICEX index has doubled in value during 2009 and regained half of its 2008 losses.
Perhaps part of the reason for the dramatic turnaround is the result of limited exposure by Russian banks, financial institutions, and the general population to the risky credit and debt which has plagued the United States or the European Union. The other reason is simply the fact that during 2009 oil prices rose to a level which is sufficient for the stabilization of the Russian economy.
This year the Russian government plans to spend $1.21 billion to reactive the job market, restructure massive corporate debt of Russian companies, and lower expensive lines of credit for companies and individuals. The Russian government has also allocated money for social projects and social security to minimize social unrest during 2010.
Despite the positive results for the Russian economy in 2009, questions remain. How effective will the Russian government be in allocating and controlling the use of funds for the economy? Recent history of widespread corruption by Russian government officials suggests that the effective use of anti-crisis funds will not be as successful as in the US and Europe.
What will the government do during 2010 to slow growing inflation and dependency on oil revenue? Investments into nanotechnology, clean energy, and small to medium sized business must begin to show some real progress for Russia to realistically move away from a commodity based economy. This will also help to create new jobs which are also an issue of importance for the Russian government.
How can the government encourage banks to start lending again, and with more reasonable interest rates? Russian government owned banks must lead the way in both commercial and private lending to encourage private banks to lower interest rates and create a new wave of lending for both business growth and consumer spending.
It is clear that Russia is very much dependent on the growth of the global economy and stable oil and other commodity prices. Should the global economy see a second wave of financial crisis, the Russian economy could be subject to another collapse.
Perhaps most of the positive results for the Russian economy have very little to do with the Russian government and their anti-crisis plan and more to do with global commodity prices? Unfortunately for Russia and the Russian economy, “as oil goes, Russia goes.”
What are your opinions about effectiveness of Russia’s anti-crisis plan?
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Russia as an efficient and clean global energy provider
By RMStaff
Image via Wikipedia
Russia as an efficient and clean global energy provider
Russia has enormous potential to be both an efficient and clean global energy provider. Although Russia has a global image as an oil and gas supplier, the “tide is turning” as clean energy initiatives and strategies give rise to investment opportunities and a New Energy Russia.
Why should Russia be interested in efficient and clean energy and what are the benefits?
Russia is one of the largest energy providers in the world and also one of the world’s most inefficient energy users and producers. Increasing efficiency will lead to cost savings which can then be channeled into clean and alternative energy projects to capture new and growing market share in the global energy market.
The global demand for alternative and clean energy is growing every year and Russia has a chance to capitalize on this demand with a country full of opportunities to provide clean energy not only domestically, but globally. To do this Russian companies and the Russian government must reverse the relaxed and short-sighted view that Russia will forever live and prosper from the sale of oil, gas, and coal.
Russia can also benefit from positive PR as being a reliable, efficient, and also clean energy provider which is well positioned for life after oil.
Implementation Strategies for clean energy in Russia
Knowledge and technology exchange - This can include scientists, engineers, companies, and governments sharing information and collaborating together to create new energy solutions and technology. As the Russian government plays a key role in Russian energy, their support is the key to driving growth in the market.
Funding of projects, companies, and research - Long-term capital and funding for alternative energy projects and companies is a major necessity as new energy projects can require large up-front investments. Again, the Russian government will be crucial for this strategy as it controls a large share of the Russian energy market.
Public awareness and acceptance including subsidies and tax incentives – The average Russian person, much like the average Russian company and government official, is indifferent at best to implementing clean energy solutions. The best way to change this perception would be a PR campaign aimed at creating awareness and a call to action for citizens and companies to implement clean energy solutions. The Russian government could also offer subsidies and tax incentives for investors to promote the growth of new companies, technology, and production of clean energy in Russia.
Legal Restructuring – Re-working and re-writing laws in Russia to support clean energy initiatives is essential for opening the energy market for growth in clean energy solutions.
Alternative Energy Options
Biofuel – As Russia has a large and growing timber industry, companies can process timber waste as bio-fuel. Russia can also exploit wheat, rye, and corn and utilize it’s large land resources to supply bio-fuel. The demand for bio-fuels is growing and the price makes it competitive with less clean alternatives such as diesel oil. Russia’s Biotechnology Corp believes that Russia is capable of exporting nearly 40 Million Tons of bio-fuel per annum, with up to 7 Million Tons after the processing of Russian timber.
Wind - Russia’s seaside areas such as Sochi provide ample area for large wind farms. Greta Energy of Canada has an ambitious program to develop wind farms across multiple regions of Russia with an expected capacity of 394 MW.
Geothermal – This is one area where Russia has already implemented successful projects and has had the most development. There is vast potential in Kamchatka and the Kuril Islands for geothermal projects. Geothermal energy is utilized for heating and electricity production in the Northern Caucasus and the Russian Far East.
Water - Untapped Siberian rivers could be utilized for hydro-electric power stations and tidal projects along the Pacific coast could make this a very natural progression for companies such as RusHydro. In fact, RusHydro is Russia’s largest hydro-generating company and the second biggest in the world. They are also utilizing renewable energy sources such as water flows, wind, tidal, and geothermal energy to generate a total capacity over 25,000 MW.
Solar - Although many do not consider this as a viable option for Russia, consider Rusnano, which is currently investing in the production of high-efficiency solar power plants in Russia. Also, the Russian company Nitol is hoping to increase its’ production silicon wafers to a capacity of 60 MW. Russia is the largest country in the world and has ample land for solar energy generation and production facilities.
Nanotechnology - The Kremlin’s bet for the future of Russian energy lies with nanotechnology and the Russian government has invested billions of dollars for the development of this sector. “Nanotechnology will be the (foundation) for all industries in a science-driven economy,” said Mikhail Kovalchuk, director of Moscow’s Kurchatov Institute. “Nanotechnology will be the driving force of the Russian economy — if it can overcome the legacy of the recent past.”
Efficiency Strategies
Oil well and refinery efficiency – Not only can Russia become more efficient with this expensive process, but it can also sell the added energy to the markets and keep pace with the ever increasing global demand for oil and gas. New technologies, drilling techniques, and equipment can improve the efficiency, but usually requires large capital investment.
Natural gas and subsequent distribution efficiency – As gas is transported along hundreds of kilometers much of it is lost in transit. Here again, a large up-front investment is required.
Improving domestic heating and electricity transmission - Russia has one of the largest energy intensity ratings in the world, and 2 times more than the US. This inefficiency can affect economic growth and is partly due to the harsh climates experienced in many parts of Russia. The savings can be used to fund alternative energy programs or further increase efficiency of domestic resources. As an example, Russia’s heat production loses half of the available energy during the creation and transportation process.
Program and incentives for energy efficient consumers – PR, tax incentives, and the availability of energy efficient products and technologies can push Russian consumers to start being more energy conscious. This can offset the gradual increase of domestic energy prices.
Barriers
Energy Efficiency – Currently Russian’s enjoy artificially priced energy far below the level of world market prices and the costs are subsidized by the Russian Government. Inefficient infrastructure such as central heating for the majority of Russia’s population also complicates the problem of creating more efficient domestic energy production
Alternative Energy – Lack of public support and a relaxed, short-term view of Russian Government officials and Russian energy companies regarding energy and natural resource utilization. As strong public policy is required from the Russian Government to implement sweeping changes to legislation, investment, taxation, and public support, alternative energy could be on a very slow growth path in Russia.
Outlook for Investors
With the exception of a few companies such as RusHydro and Rusnano, the Russian alternative energy market can certainly be considered in an infant stage. The growth of Russia as an efficient and clean global energy provider is almost certain to present investors with a wealth of opportunities.
What do you think about the future of Russia as an efficient and clean global energy provider? Send us your comments.

Russian Economic Growth for 2010
By RMStaff
Russian Economic Growth
An article posted in the Moscow Times is suggesting that bankers and bureaucrats are offering a disappointing outlook for 2010. Based on the Economic Development Ministry projections, the Russian economy could grow between 1.3 and 3.5% during 2010 (assuming the oil price remains above US $58).
The Economic Development Ministry last week updated the three scenarios for its 2010 economic forecast, with pessimistic growth of 1.3 percent, a baseline scenario of 3.1 percent and possible growth of 3.5 percent if oil prices continue to stay above the $58 per barrel forecast used to calculate the 2010 budget.
While many believe these projections to be pessimistic, and certainly we don’t want to ruin your holiday mood, the overall consensus among people in the business community was that 2010 will include slow but stable economic growth. And even the Russian President has a more opportunistic forecast for the Russian economy in 2010:
And while the Economic Development Ministry may have submitted its best guesses, that hasn’t stopped senior policy makers from offering their macro forecasts for 2010. A number of top officials, most recently President Dmitry Medvedev, have said the economy could grow 5 percent next year — although virtually all have attributed the figure to “experts.”
This is a typical question of whether the glass is half full or half empty. If to compare economic growth in 2009, next year should be a welcome return to stability and growth for Russia. Although expectations are low, expectations around the world are low and Russia is one of the first countries to climb out of recession.
So, as the New Year approaches we want to offer a glimmer of hope, a light at the end of the tunnel, and a road to economic growth and stability that is clearly seen by all.
What is your projection for economic growth in Russia for 2010? Vote Now:
Economic Forecasts for 2010
| Indicator | Average | Median | Min / Max |
| GDP, % | 3.3 | 3.3 | -1 / 7 |
| Inflation, % | 8.3 | 8.5 | 5.5 / 11 |
| Industrial Production, % | 4.1 | 4.7 | -3 / 8.2 |
| Fixed capital investment, % | 5.3 | 4.2 | -4 / 20 |
| Retail goods sales, % | 4.2 | 4 | 0.5 / 10 |
| Nominal wages, & | 8.5 | 9.3 | 1.2 / 16.6 |
| Real household incomes, % | 3.4 | 3.1 | 1 / 8.4 |
| Exports, $Bln | 358 | 353 | 290 / 413 |
| Imports, $Bln | 230 | 226 | 184 / 270 |
| Current account balance, $Bln | 56 | 61 | 16 / 103 |
| Capital inflows / outflows, $Bln | 10 | 16.5 | -60 / 60 |
| Direct foreign investment, $Bln | 39 | 45.5 | 6 / 70 |
| Central Bank refinancing rate | 7.9 | 8 | 6.5 / 9 |
| Lending rate to nonfinancial sector | 12 | 12.3 | 10 / 13.6 |
| Increase in lending volume to nonfinancial sector, % | 11.4 | 10 | 6 / 18 |
| Increase in consumer lending volume, % | 9.5 | 7.6 | 2 / 18 |
| Average Urals crude price, $ / barrel | 72.1 | 73.4 | 60 / 90 |
| Ruble / dollar rate at the end of 2010 | 28.4 | 28.5 | 26.2 / 33 |
| Unemployment, % | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7 / 9 |
| Participants: Alfa Bank, Bank of Moscow, BDO Unicon, Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, Citibank, Higher School of Economics’ Development Center, HSBC, ING, Merrill Lynch, Otkritie, Renaissance Capital, Sberbank Macroeconomic Forecasting Center, Troika Dialog, Trust National Bank, UralSib
- Vedomosti |
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The Top 25 Russian Internet Resources
By RMStaff

- Image via CrunchBase
The Top Russian Internet Resources
The research company COMCON has prepared a list of the most popular websites on the Russian Internet according to the quantity of visitors and the percentage of Internet users visiting each site.
The most popular Internet resources in April 2009 are as follows:
- yandex.ru – Internet portal
- mail.ru – Internet portal
- rambler.ru – Internet portal
- google.ru – Search engine
- odnoklassniki.ru – Social web page for classmates
- mail.ru (search) – Search engine
- vkontakte.ru – Social web page for classmates and friends
- life.ru – News about celebrities and fashion in Russia
- torrents.ru – Portal for foreign films, programs, books, music, games
- vz.ru – Business News
- mail.yandex.ru – Mail
- rian.ru – News (english)
- news.yandex.ru – News
- news.mail.ru – News
- mail.rambler.ru – News
- passion.ru – Web page for female Internet users
- rambler.ru/news – News
- playground.ru – Computer games
- dni.ru – Internet based newspaper
- russia.ru – Russian Internet TV
- afisha.ru – Entertainment in Russia (cinema, theatre, clubs, restaurants)
- regnum.ru – News from Russia, CIS and the rest of the World
- utro.ru – Daily Internet newspaper
- newsland.ru – News and discussion
- consultant.ru – Law and legal information site
Percentage of Internet users visiting the most popular Russian web pages

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